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Burnley v Newcastle United


TEAM NEWSBurnley’s record signing Chris Wood is a doubt with a hamstring injury but fellow striker Sam Vokes is likely to return from an abdominal strain.Nahki Wells has recovered from a foot injury and awaits his Clarets debut, but Jonathan Walters and Dean Marney remain sidelined with knee problems.Dwight Gayle returns to the Newcastle squad, having recovered from a calf injury picked up against Southampton earlier this month.

Paul Dummett is their only absentee.MOTD COMMENTATOR’S NOTESConor McNamara: “Five years since Sean Dyche’s appointment at Burnley, he’s now the Premier League’s third longest-serving manager.”The best measure of Dyche’s success is all the other jobs he is now being linked with. “Consistency has been key. Only 17 players used in total this season is a Premier League low.”An average net transfer spend of just £7m per year for each of his five seasons only adds to the allure.”Mike Ashley has shown business acumen with the timing of putting Newcastle up for sale – a sense of fattening for market. This has already been the club’s best start to a Premier League season since 2011-12. Newcastle finished fifth that year.”Twitter: @ConorMcNamaraIEWHAT THE MANAGERS SAYBurnley manager Sean Dyche on speculation linking him with the vacant Everton job: “I mentioned last week different links with different clubs have come around – but they are others people’s stories, not mine.”They are out of my hands. In the short to medium term, I am going to continue working hard as I have done.”Newcastle United manager Rafael Benitez: “I am really pleased with our position, but still I think we have to wait until January to be jumping because we are very happy.”LAWRO’S PREDICTIONThis game is going to be very close, but I am backing Newcastle to come out on top – just.Prediction: 1-2Lawro v England cricketers Moeen Ali & James AndersonThink you can do better than Lawro? Predict the score for this match and the rest of this round’s Premier League fixtures in our Predictor game.MATCH FACTSHead-to-headThe two most recent meetings came in the 2014-15 Premier League season and were both drawn.They are the only two fixtures between the clubs in 34 years since a Division Two match in March 1983.Both sides have won 41 of their 101 contests, with 19 draws.BurnleyBurnley have only won one of their past seven home league matches (D3, L3).All four of Burnley’s Premier League home wins in 2017 have been by a 1-0 scoreline.Matches at Turf Moor have produced four goals this season, the fewest in the division.Their six-match unbeaten league run came to an end against Manchester City last weekend, when they failed to have a shot on target.Clarets boss Sean Dyche celebrates five years in charge on the day of the Newcastle game.Newcastle UnitedNewcastle have only lost one of their past seven league matches (W4, D2).However, they have won only one of their past 15 Premier League away games (D3, L11).They have conceded just one first-half goal this season.Newcastle have lost nine consecutive top-flight matches on a Monday. All nine have come away from home, with the Magpies failing to score on seven occasions.Only Manchester City midfielders David Silva and Kevin de Bruyne (both six) have provided more Premier League assists than winger Matt Ritchie (five) this season.SAM’s verdictMost probable score: 1-1Probability of draw: 28%Probability of home win: 37%Probability of away win: 35%SAM (Sports Analytics Machine) is a super-computer created by @ProfIanMcHale at the University of Liverpool that is used to predict the outcome of football matches.
Source: BBC Lancashire